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  • How to Analyse a Company's Balance Sheet for Investment Decisions?

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

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    Have you ever felt lost while looking at a company’s balance sheet or other financial statements, wondering how those numbers can help you with investment decisions? Well, you’re not alone! 

    Here at NIWS, the leading stock market institute in Delhi, Jaipur, and Indore, we understand that balance sheets can seem like a mix of confusing figures and technical terms. That's why our expert traders here to break it down for you.

    What is a Balance Sheet, and How to Interpret It? 

    A balance sheet is a financial statement that provides a snapshot of a company's financial position at a specific point in time. It details the company's assets, liabilities, and shareholders' equity, offering a clear picture of what the company owns and owes. The balance sheet is structured in a way that follows the equation:

    Assets = Liabilities + Shareholders' Equity

    Basic analysis of a company’s balance sheet starts from understanding the components. 

    1 Understand the Balance Sheet Components

    The balance sheet is divided into three main sections:

    • Assets: What the company owns (e.g., cash, inventory, property). Assets are expected to provide future benefits, driving the company's growth and profitability.

    • Liabilities: What the company owes (e.g., loans, accounts payable). Liabilities represent the funding sourced from external parties that need to be repaid.

    • Equity: The net ownership value in the company (also known as shareholder equity). It includes initial capital invested by shareholders and retained earnings accumulated over time.

    Now that you have an overview about the balance sheet components, the nest steps of the analysis is to analyse these components. 

    2 Analyse Assets

    • Current Assets: These are assets that can be converted into cash within a year (e.g., cash, marketable securities, receivables, inventories). Assess the quality and liquidity of these assets.

    • Non-Current Assets: These include long-term investments, property, plant, and equipment (PP&E), and intangible assets. Evaluate how these assets are used to generate revenue and consider their depreciation to understand their contribution to long-term financial health.

     

    3 Examine Liabilities

    Liabilities on a balance sheet are categorised into Current Liabilities and Long-Term Liabilities:

    Current Liabilities

    These are financial obligations a company is due to settle within the next year, including accounts payable, short-term debt, and other accrued expenses. Analysis Tip: Assess the company's current assets in relation to its current liabilities to gauge its ability to meet these short-term obligations. A healthy ratio indicates good liquidity, showing that the company can cover upcoming debts with ease.

    Long-Term Liabilities

    This category includes obligations that are due beyond one year, such as long-term debt, pension liabilities, and deferred tax liabilities. Analysis Tip: Review the terms and conditions of these liabilities to understand their impact on the company’s future financial health. Analyse whether the company generates enough cash flow to comfortably manage and sustain these long-term debts without compromising its operational stability.

    4 Assess Shareholder Equity

    Shareholder equity on a balance sheet includes components such as common stock, retained earnings, and additional paid-in capital:

    • Common Stock represents the equity invested directly by shareholders.

    • Retained Earnings are the accumulated profits that have been reinvested in the business rather than distributed as dividends.

    • Additional Paid-in Capital is the extra amount shareholders have paid above the nominal value of the stock.

    Analysis Tip: A higher total equity typically suggests a more financially stable company. To assess the company's performance and management effectiveness, compare the growth in equity over time. Increasing shareholder equity indicates that the company is generating returns effectively and is reinvesting its profits wisely, contributing to its long-term sustainability and potential for growth.

    After having through details about the balance sheet components, the next step is to analyse the financial ratios. These provide a quantitive analysis of company’s financial health and operational efficiency. 

    5 Calculate Financial Ratios

    5.1 - Liquidity Ratios

    These ratios measure a company's ability to cover its short-term obligations with its current assets. They are crucial for assessing the immediate financial health of a business.

    • Current Ratio: Calculated as Current Assets divided by Current Liabilities. A ratio above 1 indicates that the company has more current assets than current liabilities, suggesting good short-term financial health.

    • Quick Ratio (Acid-Test Ratio): This is a more stringent test than the current ratio, calculated as (Current Assets - Inventory) divided by Current Liabilities. It excludes inventory to focus on the most liquid assets.

    5.2 -Solvency Ratios

    These ratios indicate a company's ability to meet its long-term debts and other financial obligations, reflecting its long-term financial stability.

    • Debt-to-Equity Ratio: Calculated as Total Liabilities divided by Shareholder Equity. A lower ratio suggests that a company is using less leverage and has a stronger equity position.

    • Debt-to-Assets Ratio: Total Liabilities divided by Total Assets. This ratio shows what proportion of a company’s assets are financed through debt.

    5.3 - Profitability Ratios

    These ratios help assess a company's ability to generate earnings relative to its revenue, assets, equity, and other financial metrics. They are critical for evaluating a company's earning potential.

    • Return on Assets (ROA): Net Income divided by Total Assets. This ratio measures how efficiently a company is using its assets to generate profits.

    • Return on Equity (ROE): Net Income divided by Shareholder Equity. It indicates how effectively management is using the equity invested by shareholders to produce profit.

    5.4 - Efficiency Ratios

    These ratios assess how well a company uses its assets and liabilities internally.

    • Asset Turnover Ratio: Net Sales divided by Total Assets. This measures a company's ability to generate sales from its assets.

    After completing the ratio analysis, the next is to check the red flags in company’s balance sheet, compare it with the competitors, consider external factors and trends to get detailed analysis. 

    6 Look for Red Flags

    When analysing a company's balance sheet, be alert for indicators that could signal financial trouble:

    • High Leverage

    Excessive debt is risky, particularly if a company's earnings are inconsistent. A high Debt-to-Equity Ratio indicates reliance on borrowed funds, which can be precarious during economic downturns or rising interest rates.

    • Low Liquidity

    A company’s struggle to convert assets into cash suggests potential cash flow issues. Assess this through the Current Ratio and Quick Ratio; figures below industry norms are a concern, indicating difficulties in meeting short-term obligations.

    • Inconsistent Revenue from Assets

    A low Asset Turnover Ratio compared to industry peers can indicate inefficiencies or overvalued assets, suggesting that the company is not effectively utilising its assets to generate revenue. This inefficiency can be a warning sign of operational challenges or poor asset management.

    7  Compare with Industry Peers

    To understand where a company stands in relation to its competitors, it’s crucial to compare its financial ratios to industry averages. Here’s how you can do it:

    • Gather Industry Data: Start by collecting financial data from other companies in the same industry. This data can typically be found in industry reports, financial databases, and analyst reports.

    • Use Benchmarking Tools: Many financial platforms provide tools for comparing a company’s performance against industry benchmarks. These tools often display averages and ranges for key ratios within an industry.

    • Analyse Trends: Look not only at static numbers but also at trends over time. How has the company’s performance changed relative to its peers? Are its ratios improving, declining, or remaining stable compared to industry averages?

    • Consider the Context: When comparing ratios, take into account the size, market segment, and geographical location of other companies in the industry. A direct comparison may not always be fair; larger companies often have different financial structures compared to smaller ones.

    • Evaluate Outliers: If a company’s ratios significantly deviate from the industry average, try to understand why. Is it due to superior management and strategies, or are there underlying issues that need closer scrutiny?

    • Interpret Results: Use the comparisons to draw conclusions about the company's financial health, operational efficiency, and competitive position. Are its debt levels manageable compared to peers? Is it generating returns on assets and equity at a competitive rate?

    By methodically comparing these ratios, you can gain insights into the company’s relative performance and identify potential strengths or weaknesses that may not be evident from standalone financial statements. This comparative analysis is key to making informed investment decisions.

    8 Consider External Factors

    External factors such as economic conditions, regulatory changes, and market trends significantly influence a company's balance sheet. For instance, economic downturns can reduce consumer spending affecting company sales, while new regulations might increase operational costs. 

    Always assess how these externalities might impact the company’s assets, liabilities, and overall financial stability, helping you anticipate potential risks or opportunities.

    9 Review Trends Over Time

    Examine historical balance sheets to identify trends in assets, liabilities, and equity. Positive trends, such as decreasing debt levels, increasing liquid assets, and growing equity, usually signal financial health and management effectiveness. Conversely, negative trends can indicate potential problems. This longitudinal analysis helps you understand the company’s financial trajectory and sustainability over time.

    10 Synthesise Your Findings

    To make informed investment decisions, integrate the balance sheet with the income statement and cash flow statement. The balance sheet provides a snapshot of assets, liabilities, and equity, while the income statement details profit or loss over time, and the cash flow statement shows cash movements, highlighting operational efficiency. 

    Analysing these statements together offers a comprehensive view of the company's financial health, operational performance, and sustainability. Look for consistency or discrepancies among these statements to assess financial practices and risks effectively, leading to more strategic investment choices.

    Conclusion 

    By simply following these easy steps, everyone, from a newbie to a seasoned investor, can easily analyse a company's balance sheet and make informed investment decisions. However, these steps are just an overview, and to get a perfect analysis of any company's balance sheet, you need to delve into more precise details, which only a course or an expert trader can help you with.

    If you are looking for stock market courses in Jaipur, Delhi, or Indore, look no further than NIWS. We are a top stock market institute, equipped with industry professionals with over 10 years of experience. We not only provide bookish knowledge but also assist you with practical to-dos, which help with real-time learning. Connect with our experts now to know more.

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  • Risk Management Tips for Swing Traders

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

    Swing trading is a very popular strategy among stock market enthusiasts. In this strategy, a trader holds a position for several days or weeks to capitalise on short-term price movements. 

     

    Swing trading presents opportunities for traders who like to benefit from market volatility without needing constant monitoring. However, to achieve success in swing trading, risk management is necessary. Since markets are dynamic and unpredictable, traders are usually exposed to many risks, so practical risk management tips are essential. 

     

    At NIWS, we aim to educate our students and traders about the stock market, its volatile nature, and how to manage its associated risks. We offer various courses to address different aspects of the financial market. In this blog, we wish to educate our readers about risk management tips that are helpful for swing traders.

     

    Risk in Swing Trading

    Swing trading presents an opportunity for traders to gain profits but also carries risks that traders must understand. Below, we explore the different types of risks in swing trading.

     

    1 Market Risk

    This is also known as systematic risks. It refers to the different possibilities of losses due to factors that affect the overall performance of the financial market. These could include risks like any political event or economic downfall.

     

    2 Liquidity Risk

    When a trader cannot buy or sell stocks without significantly affecting their price, this is known as liquidity risk.

     

    3 Overnight Risk

    Certain factors are outside the trader's control when a trader holds on to a position for a day or two. Any event or issue, such as economic data releases or earnings reports published after the markets close, can significantly affect the prices of the shares.

     

    4 Volatility Risk

    Volatility risk refers to the potential for any significant price fluctuations in a short period. While volatility can create trading opportunities, it also increases the risk of substantial losses. Traders must be well aware of the volatility associated with the stocks they have purchased.

     

    Risk Management Strategies for Swing Trading 

     

    Let's discuss some of the most prevalent risk management strategies to ensure your swing trades book profits, not losses. 

     

    1 Position Sizing

    Position sizing refers to the size of a position within a particular portfolio or the amount an investor will trade. This helps traders determine the quantity of security they can purchase, which further helps them to control risk and maximise returns.

     

    Some of the most commonly used methods to determine position size include-

    • Fixed dollar Amount

    • Risk per trade

    • Percentage of Account Equity

     

    2 Stop-Loss Orders

    This is a buy or sell order placed by traders to limit their losses. It is usually done when there is a concern that the prices of the shares may change against the trade.

    There are two types of Stop-Loss orders:

    • SL order (Stop-Loss Limit) = Price + Trigger Price.

    • SL-M order (Stop-Loss Market) = Only Trigger Price.

    How do we set effective stop-loss levels?

    This can be done through different ways-

    • Technical analysis: Using indicators such as resistance levels and trendlines to identify the points for stop loss, a stop loss order is usually placed slightly below the support levels. 

    • Percentage Method: This requires setting stop-loss orders based on a fixed stock price percentage.

     

    3 Diversification

     

    This involves spreading or investing across different assets, sectors and categories. This is usually done to mitigate the risks and avoid losses beyond recovery. This helps traders build a portfolio that provides more stable performance over time.

     

    Some of the strategies for diversification can include-

     

    • Asset class diversification- Investing in different kinds of assets.

    • Sector diversification- Investing in assets from different sectors.

    • Geographical Diversification- Invest in geographical regions to spread risk across various markets and economies.

     

    4 Technical Analysis for Risk Management

     

    This involves using previous price data and technical indicators before trading. This can help investors make an informed decision. By properly analysing price data, a trader can identify patterns and recognise the potential entry and exit time from the market.

     

    Some of the critical indicators to consider while conducting technical analysis include-

     

    • Moving Averages- This helps identify trends, resistance, and support levels.

    • Relative Strength Index (RSI) - This helps to identify the speed and change of price movements.

    • Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is a trend-following momentum indicator that shows the relationship between two moving averages of a security’s price.

     

    Other Tips to Reduce the Risk During Risk Trading 

    Some of the other ways to reduce the risks for swing traders include-

     

    • Manage Emotions

    Keep your emotions aside. Financial trades cannot be conducted with emotional bias, so it is essential to maintain emotional discipline.

     

    • Avoiding Overtrading

    Overtrading refers to the excess buying or selling of securities within a short period. A desire for quick profit can undermine a trader’s long-term success. Overtrading can be avoided by -

    • Developing a clear plan and sticking to it.

    • Setting realistic goals.

    • Limit the number of trades.

    • Maintaining a trading journal. 

    • Setting Realistic Expectations

    Trades can only be done correctly if proper data does not support them. So, it is essential to ensure that your goals as a trader align with the trade data. Setting expectations and achievable goals can help you maintain discipline and focus.

     

    Conclusion

    Swing trading presents opportunities for traders that they cannot resist. So it is essential that as a swing trader, you have the risk management skills and strategies to help you. You can gain good trading experience and profits through these strategies. You can develop a swing trading strategy that aligns with your risk tolerance and financial goals by equipping yourself with technical analysis skills, risk management techniques, and emotional control.

     

    You can also connect with NIWS and learn how stock trades can occur. Our professionals are industry experts who aim to educate students regarding the different aspects of the financial market.

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  • How to Identify Growth Stocks for Long-Term Investment?

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

    If you aim to achieve substantial returns in the long term through investing, growth stock must be your ideal investment strategy. Growth stocks are the stocks of companies which have the potential to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies in the market. 

    Identifying companies that typically reinvest their earnings into the business is crucial to fuel expansion, innovation, and increased market share. By focusing on companies with growth potential, you can increase your chances of maximising returns and mitigating risks associated with market volatility.

    At NIWS, our experts emphasise the structured approach to investing in growth stocks. We aim to equip our students with the knowledge and tools to identify promising growth stocks and build a resilient investment portfolio.

    Let’s dive into the details about growth stocks, as explained by iur expert traders, and find out the best methods to identify. 

     

    What Is a Growth Stock?

    A growth stock is one that is anticipated to grow significantly above the market's average growth rate. Growth stocks do not pay dividends because they are usually associated with companies that tend to reinvest their earnings back into the business.

    An investor can earn money in growth stocks through capital gains when they eventually decide to sell their shares.

    Investing in growth stocks can be risky as investors gain money when they sell the shares.  If the company does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it's time to sell.

     

    Characteristics of Growth Stocks

    Some of the characteristics of a growth stock are-

     

    • Promising industry growth

    Growth stocks are usually from industries with high growth potential. For example, in India, green energy companies currently have a huge potential, which means their shares have the potential to grow as well. These industries are usually in the early stages of development, which leaves plenty of room for companies to grow and develop.

     

    • Market share 

    Strong and promising growth and increasing market share indicate a company's ability to outperform competitors and capture a larger portion of the market. 

     

    • Sales growth

    The primary indicator of a growth stock is growing sales. Companies that report high revenue growth rates are often seen as having successful products or services that are in high demand. Growing sales are usually the result of effective business strategies.

     

    • Large target market

    A large target market has many opportunities to grow and generate revenue. Companies with products or services that cater to a broad audience or address a significant market need can scale more efficiently and capture substantial market share. 

     

    How to Identify the Best Stocks for Long-Term Investment? 

    Here is a detailed explanation of critical fundamental analysis techniques which can help you identify the best stocks for long-term investment-

     

    Identify the Price/Earnings Ratio 

    The P/E ratio measures the company's market price against its earnings per share. A higher P/E ratio indicates that investors are paying more than the company's earnings, which means the stock is overvalued.

     

    Compare it with its peers.

    By analysing companies in similar industries, you can get an understanding of where the company stands. A company with a lower P/E ratio than its competitors may be undervalued relative to its industry.

     

    Check for the Debt to Equity Ratio 

    The debt-to-equity (D/E) ratio measures a company's financial leverage by comparing its total liabilities to its shareholders' equity. If a company's financial position is stable, then the Debt-to-equity ratio will be lower, as the company will use less debt to finance its operations.

     

    Analyse the Leadership of a Company 

    Strong leadership leads to consistent company growth. So, investors should research the backgrounds, experiences, and performance of a company's executives and board members.  

     

    Check for its Long Term Stability 

    When selecting a stock to invest in, always consider its long-term stability. Investors can make up their minds by examining the company's historical performances, profit, and revenue trends.

     

    Have a Look at Dividend Consistency 

    Companies that regularly pay dividends and increase them over time show a trait of being well-established and are considered reliable. This consistency can provide investors with regular income and signal that the company has a solid financial foundation.

     

    What are the Advantages of Investing in High Growth Stocks? 

     

    Some of the advantages of investing in high-growth stocks are-

    1. Investing in growth stocks usually provides higher returns to the investors.

    2. High-growth stocks often outperform the broader market, especially during economic upturns and bull markets.

    3. Growth stock provides the added benefit of diversification in portfolios as they act differently from value stocks.

     

    Conclusion

     

    Investing in high-growth stocks comes with lots of work. Before you can even invest in growth stocks, you should know how to identify these kinds of stocks. Growth stocks are the ones which have the potential to grow above the average growth for the market. These stocks do not provide dividends as the company reinvests all the earnings in the company itself to increase its chances of growth.

     

    Proper research is important to identify the best stock. This can be done through P/E Ratio Analysis or by comparing the company with its peers for better understanding. To learn more about growth stocks, you can connect with our experts at NIWS. We have industry experts who can provide in-depth knowledge. 

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  • How to Spot Red Flags in a Company Balance Sheet?

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

    Investing is a rewarding journey if done properly. It is essential to go through a company's balance sheet to make an informed investment decision. The financial statement offers a sneak-peek into a company's financial health, including its assets, liabilities, capital invested, etc. 

    However, only some balance sheets tell the truth; some may harbour red flags that you should have the skill to spot. By spotting these red flags in the company balance sheet, you can save yourself from the significant losses you may have to bear otherwise.

    In this blog, our experts from NIWS, one of the best trading institute in jaipur, Delhi and Indore will guide you through the key warning signs in a balance sheet when analysing the statement and making an informed decision. Check out these red flags to ensure safe and profitable investments. 

     

    8 Common Red Flags in Company Balance Sheets

    Let's discuss the most common red flags in company Balance sheets-

     

    1 Check for the Irregular Cash Flows 

     

    A consistent cash flow is a sign of healthy financial health, but irregular cash flow can indicate operational issues. So, if you spot any fluctuations or negative cash flow, consider them a red flag.

     

    For example, suppose a company has consistent sales but a statement showing a major drop in cash flow from operations. In that case, either the company has high inventory levels or increased credit sales that are not being collected promptly.

     

    2 Misinterpreting Expenses 

     

    When companies classify expenses inappropriately to improve the balance sheet, they present wrong information. This misinterpretation of expenses can be a mistake or intentional, but it is a red flag.

     

    For example, if a tech company shows routine software updates as a capital expense instead of an operational expense, it means it is misinterpreting the costs.

     

    3 Analyse if There's a Rising Debt-to-Income Ratio 

     

    Debt-to-income ratio (DTI) is all your monthly debt payments divided by your gross monthly income. When you spot a consistent increase in this ratio- it means the company heavily relies on borrowing, which can lead to financial instability.

     

    For example-  A manufacturing firm has a debt-to-income ratio that increases from 2:1 to 3:1 over two years. This is a clear indication that the firm is taking on more debt without a corresponding increase in income. 

     

    4 Check for the Decrease in Revenue Year-Over-Year 

     

    When revenue decreases year over year, this means the company may be struggling due to market competition, management inefficiencies, or product issues. This decrease should be consistent for you to count it as a red flag. Once you know the reason behind the decrease in revenue, you will be able to make an informed decision.

     

    5 Cookie Jar Accounting 

     

    When a company sets aside some amount of money when it is performing well with the intention of boosting earnings when it is performing poorly, this is called cookie jar accounting. When someone does this, they are basically misleading the investors, which can be considered a red flag.

     

    6 Rising Account Receivable 

    A higher account receivable means your customers are paying on time, and the company is good at collecting. However, when rising account receivables cannot be backed by rising revenue, the company needs help to collect payments from its customers, potentially leading to cash flow problems.

     

    7 More Liabilities than Assets 

     

    When a company owes more than it owns, it is in trouble. It is a sign that the company is struggling with financial distress and potential insolvency.

     

    8 Decreasing Gross Profit Margin 

     

    When a company makes less profit from its sales, its gross profit margin decreases. Increased production costs or lower sales prices can cause this.

     

    Conclusion

    When you pay close attention to these red flags, investors can better evaluate the company's financial condition. With the help of these red flags, you can make an informed decision while investing and avoid the pitfalls you would have been in. It is crucial to have an accurate picture of a company's financial health, as it is the deciding factor for any investor. 


    If you wish to learn how to scrutinise a company's balance sheet and gain a clear perspective on what other factors you should consider while investing, you can opt for courses at NIWS. We have multiple course modules designed by industry experts that aim to educate students about the stock market, wealth management, etc. Connect with us now!

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  • The Importance of Valuation in Investment Decisions

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

    Curious about how the pros determine whether a stock is a bargain or a blunder? Understanding stock valuation is key to making savvy investment decisions. 

    Valuation helps investors determine a stock's actual worth beyond its current market price. This understanding guides investment choices, helping to manage risks and gauge an investment's performance. It ensures smarter decision-making, fairer business deals, and better resource handling, leading to more stable and profitable investments.

    Brought to you by NIWS, the esteemed stock market institute with branches in Jaipur, Delhi, and Indore, this blog unpacks the critical role of stock valuation in investment decisions. At NIWS, we pride ourselves on educating students and avid traders with top-tier financial insights. Read on to deepen your understanding and enhance your skills in making well-informed investment choices.

     

    Benefits of Valuation in Investment Decisions 

    Let's discuss some of the benefits of valuation in investment decisions-

    1 - Informed Investment Decisions

    Accurate information about the valuation helps the investor make an informed decision. Through meticulous analysis, investors can identify opportunities that align with their objectives. It allows investors to avoid paying more than the asset's actual value.

     

    2 - Risk Management

    Since valuation is done after careful analysis of every aspect of the asset, it helps investors to mitigate the risks. Through valuation, it is easier to identify the potential returns associated with the risks.

    Valuation ensures that the risks associated with the investment are paid off. This disciplined approach ensures that potential rewards justify the risks assumed, fostering a sensible investment strategy.

    3 - Portfolio Management

    Valuation is the key to maintaining a balanced and diversified portfolio. Strategic decisions can be made through valuation to ensure an extensive and balanced portfolio. Periodic asset assessment and valuation can help investors develop rebalancing strategies.

    4 - Financial Health Assessment

    Valuation provides insights into a company's financial health and future potential. By assessing gross profit, operating margin, and profitability, an investor can maintain a healthy financial condition. Careful valuation makes it easier to understand how efficiently the company generates profits from its operations and manages costs.

    5 - Maximising Returns

    Accurate valuation enables investors to spot opportunities where the market has mispriced a stock.  Investors can estimate a stock's value through detailed valuation techniques such as discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis and comparable company analysis. When a stock's current market price is significantly lower than its estimated value, it is considered undervalued.

    While seeking undervalued opportunities, investors conduct thorough research and due diligence to mitigate risks associated with value traps or fundamental weaknesses that may justify the stock's low valuation.

    Conclusion

    Since valuation is the core of any investment, it is essential to do it properly. Accurately assessing an asset's value can help you navigate the entire market. Valuation's most common benefits include managing risks, managing portfolios, maximising returns, and making well-informed decisions. 

    With the help of NIWS, you can learn about different valuation methods and how to apply them. At NIWS (National Institute of Wall Street), our commitment to financial education excellence ensures that investors have access to comprehensive courses and resources. Through expert-led training in valuation techniques and practical applications, NIWS equips investors with the knowledge and skills necessary to excel in financial markets.

    Connect with our stock market experts now to know more. 

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  • Top 5 Methods for Accurate Stock Valuation

    NIWS Team 25 Jul 2024

    Are you a share market enthusiast looking to earn profits from stocks? If yes, you need to know accurate stock valuation methods to make the best investment decisions, manage your portfolio, assess risks, and plan strategically! 

    Stock valuation determines a stock's intrinsic value to assess whether it is overvalued, undervalued, or reasonably priced. Once identified, you get a wealth of opportunities to invest and book profits in underpriced stocks, sell overpriced ones, and hold reasonably priced ones. 

    But the question remains: How do you evaluate a stock? In this blog, our experts from NIWS, one of the best stock market institutes in Jaipur, Delhi and Indore, will assist you with the five best stock valuation methods, which even a beginner or a pro stock market enthusiast can grasp to book the most profits!

    Let’s get into the details to know it all! 

     

    Types of Stock Valuation

    Before we get into the details of stock valuation methods, let’s first explore how they are done!  

    Absolute

    In this method, stock valuation is based on a business's fundamental analysis, which is conducted using information collected through financial statements. These methods focus on a company's underlying financial health and future cash flows, independent of its current market price. 

    Relative

    Relative stock valuation is a method of comparing financial ratios between similar companies. These methods use valuation multiples from comparable companies to determine whether a stock is reasonably priced.

     

    Methods for Accurate Stock Valuation

    The top methods for an accurate stock valuation include the following-

     

    #1 - Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

    DCF Analysis is a method for valuing assets using their expected future cash flows. The core of DCF analysis is that the value of money today is worth more than the same amount in the future due to its potential earning capacity.

    This analysis is helpful for people or organisations that are considering acquiring a company or buying securities. 

    Steps in DCF Analysis

    The following are the steps which are used for conducting a DCF Analysis-

    • Estimating future cash flows, usually of 5-10 years, with the help of the company's current and previous financial statements.

    • Determining the discount rate. The discount rate typically used is the company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC), which reflects the average rate of return required by the company's investors.

    • Calculating the present value of cash flows.

    Advantages and Disadvantages

    Some of the strengths of DCF Analysis are-

    • DCF analysis emphasises a company's intrinsic value based on its fundamental financial performance, such as cash flow generation, revenue growth, and profitability.

    • DCF allows investors to adjust critical assumptions and variables to see how changes impact the valuation.

    Weakness of DCF Analysis are-

    • One of the main drawbacks of DCF Analysis is it is based on estimates rather than factual numbers.

    • Future cash flows depend on various factors, such as market demand, the status of the economy, technology, competition, and unforeseen threats or opportunities. These can only be quantified partially.

     

    #2 - Dividend Discount Model (DDM)

    DDM is an analysis based on the theory that a company's current price is worth the sum of all its future dividend payments when discounted back to its present value. The dividend discount model (DDM) is a quantitative method for predicting the price of a company's stock based on the theory that its present-day price is worth the sum of all its future dividend payments.

    Steps in DDM Calculation

    Following are the steps which are used in DDM Calculation -

    • Estimating future dividends

    • Determining the discount rate

    • Calculating the present value of dividends

    Advantages and Disadvantages

    Some of the strengths of DDM Analysis are-

    • DDM directly values the cash returns to shareholders, making it straightforward for dividend-paying stocks.

    • It is simple to apply and understand.

    Weakness of DDM Analysis are-

    • DDM does not apply to companies that do not pay dividends or have irregular dividend policies.

    • DDM focuses only on dividends and sometimes may overlook other important factors such as earnings growth, reinvestment opportunities, and market conditions.

     

    #3 - Comparable Company Analysis (CCA)

    This method is used mainly when valuation using other models is not possible. This model compares the stock's price multiples to a benchmark to determine whether the stock is underpriced or overpriced. Comparable company analysis is the process of comparing companies based on similar metrics to assess their enterprise value.

    Steps in CCA

    Following are the steps which are used in CCA -

    • Selecting comparable companies means choosing companies with similar metrics or organisations in similar industries.

    • Collecting financial data from comparable companies.

    • Calculating and applying multiples to the target company. Some of the common multiples include-

    EBITDA- Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, etc.

    Price to Sales Ratio- Market price per share divided by sales per share.

    Advantages and Disadvantages

    Some of the strengths of CCA are-

    • CCA is market-driven and reflects the market conditions and sentiments.

    • This method is easy to understand and straightforward, making it accessible to broader investors.

    Weakness of CCA Analysis are-

    • It requires an accurate selection of comparables, as any bias while choosing comparable companies can affect the results.

    • The comparables are selected based on assumptions that they are comparable, which may or may not be the case.

     

    #4 - Price-to-Book (P/B) Ratio

    The P/B ratio measures the market value of a company's stock against its book. This ratio helps evaluate companies with significant tangible assets, such as financial institutions and manufacturing firms.

    The formula for P/B Ratio is P/B = Market Price per Share / Book Value per Share where:

    • Market Price per Share: The current trading price of the company's stock.

    • Book Value per Share is the company's total assets minus its total liabilities divided by the number of outstanding shares.

    Advantages and Disadvantages

    Some of the strengths of Price the book ratio are-

    • It is helpful for asset valuation.

    • The price-to-book ratio is easy to use and apply.

    Weakness of the P/B Ratio are-

    • It may not capture intangible assets such as patents, trademarks, and goodwill,

    • The P/B ratio varies widely across different industries, making it less useful for comparing companies in other sectors.

    #5 - Price-to-Earnings (P/E) Ratio

    The Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio is one of the most commonly used methods for valuing a company's stock. It measures the relationship between a company's current share price and earnings per share (EPS).

    The formula of P/E Ratio is P/E = Market Price per Share / Earnings per Share (EPS) where:

    • Market Price per Share: The current trading price of the company's stock.

    • Earnings per Share (EPS): The company's net income divided by the number of outstanding shares.

    Advantages and Disadvantages

    The advantages of the P/E Ratio are-

    • It is simple to apply.

    • Different organisations widely recognise it.

    • The P/E ratio reflects investor expectations and sentiment about a company's future growth and profitability.

    Some of the weaknesses of the P/E Ratio are-

    • It can be misleading if earnings are volatile.

    • P/E ratios can vary widely between sectors, making it less useful for comparing companies across different industries.

    • The P/E ratio does not consider other important factors such as a company's debt levels, cash flow, or asset base.

     

    Conclusion

    There is no single evaluation method that fits all situations. But with the help of this blog, you are now well aware of the characteristics of all five valuation methods and their pros and cons. While a valuation method such as DCF helps value assets using their expected future cash flows, a CCA valuation method compares companies with similar companies to get the valuation. 

    These methods can be applied in real-world investing and provide a quick and intuitive way to compare valuations. At NIWS, we aim to equip our students with all the stock market-related methodologies, tips, and tricks curated by experts from their experience! 

    Want to discuss the details? We are just a call away! Contact our experts now to learn more. 

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